Bug with shipping date calculations (guessing it's time zone related)

Bug: The system is not calculating the dates correctly when estimating shipping dates.

What's happening:
When I select a shipping date within the estimated range of delivery, the system will tell me the package will arrive late.
When I change the shipping selection to another selection within the same date range the system does not display the same message.

Example:
(Can't upload images but have screenshots)
My package's estimated delivery is Oct 10-15. The buyer expects the package Oct 10-15 the system says it 'May arrive late"
If I change the shipping to arrive 10-11 of Oct the message goes away.

What should happen:
Packages should show as arriving late when their delivery date exceeds the estimated date not meets it.

My guess:
Etsy is calculating arrival dates based on a fixed time zone which means the system sees the package as arriving the day after the date it displays. 

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